Provably Fair

Chaos Zero Nightmare Pity Odds: 1% Rate, $350 Cap [2026]

If you’re staring at the summon screen in Chaos Zero Nightmare wondering whether 50 pulls is enough, the short answer is: probably not, but you’re closer than you…
By Laura Bennett · Oct 13, 2026

How to Verify a Provably Fair Dice Roll Yourself: Seeds, Nonces and HMAC-SHA256 Step by Step

Most players who click “verify” on a dice game are trusting a second piece of the casino’s own code to tell them the first piece was honest. That…
By Tom Vance · Oct 12, 2026

Honkai Impact 3rd Pity Odds: 1.6% Rate, $312 Cap [2026]

Honkai Impact 3rd’s Battlesuit Supply gives you a 1.6% chance of pulling an S-rank battlesuit on every single draw, and the game forces a win by draw 90…
By Daniel Roth · Oct 11, 2026

Brown Dust 2 Pity Odds: 3% Rate, $600 Worst Case [2026]

Short answer: pulling for a featured 5-star costume in Brown Dust 2 costs about $143 on average, with a hard worst-case ceiling of roughly $600 if you lose…
By Dr. Elena Marchetti · Oct 10, 2026

Tears of Themis Pity Odds: 1% Rate, $273 Hard Cap [2026]

Short answer: a featured SSR card in Tears of Themis has a flat 1% chance per draw, with no soft-pity ramp and a hard guarantee at draw 100.…
By Dr. Elena Marchetti · Oct 9, 2026

Expected Cost to Guarantee a 5-Star: $152 vs $440 [2026]

Short answer: guaranteeing a specific 5-star pull isn’t one price, it’s two. In Fate/Grand Order, the worst-case cash cost to force the featured unit through its 330-pull hard…
By Dr. Heinrich Vogel · Oct 7, 2026

Wuthering Waves Weapon Pity: 80 vs 160 Pulls [2026]

Short answer: a 5-star weapon in Wuthering Waves’ Weapon Convene is guaranteed within 80 pulls, and because that banner skips the 50/50 coin flip entirely, hitting a 5-star…
By Laura Bennett · Oct 6, 2026

Infinity Nikki Gacha Odds: 6.06% Rate, $36 Cap [2026]

A 5-star outfit piece in Infinity Nikki is guaranteed within 20 pulls, no exceptions, no 50/50 coin-flip. Infold Games’ own patch notes put the displayed probability at 6.06%…
By Priya Anand · Oct 5, 2026

Honkai Star Rail: Light Cone Pity Costs 26% Less [2026]

A Honkai Star Rail warp costs 160 Stellar Jade no matter which banner you pull on, but the two main gacha systems in the game are not priced…
By Priya Anand · Oct 4, 2026

Limbus Company Pity Odds: 1.45% Rate, $250 Cap [2026]

If you are staring at Limbus Company’s draw screen wondering whether 200 pulls is really the ceiling, here is the short version: yes. Project Moon’s gacha has no…
By Laura Bennett · Oct 3, 2026

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